Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.446500 0.518177 0.597084 0.690313 0.797377 0.916404 1.058693
2025-05-04 0.335236 0.434203 0.554827 0.712272 0.911958 1.156358 1.477768
2025-05-11 0.269541 0.377883 0.519937 0.718999 0.989825 1.344419 1.842801
2025-05-18 0.222555 0.333075 0.486951 0.715464 1.044610 1.499688 2.174422
2025-05-25 0.186475 0.295552 0.455608 0.705624 1.083995 1.632294 2.483444
2025-06-01 0.159796 0.266718 0.431201 0.700041 1.125243 1.767660 2.806277
2025-06-08 0.134848 0.236233 0.399218 0.677060 1.134797 1.853478 3.059594
2025-06-15 0.127050 0.232295 0.408183 0.719318 1.250545 2.113067 3.608375
2025-06-22 0.109174 0.208330 0.380581 0.696694 1.255864 2.194341 3.874229
2025-06-29 0.094434 0.187700 0.355798 0.675240 1.259528 2.271266 4.137606
2025-07-06 0.082653 0.170803 0.335351 0.658580 1.268823 2.357116 4.422365
2025-07-13 0.076100 0.163025 0.330624 0.670038 1.329740 2.538408 4.892209
2025-07-20 0.072830 0.161599 0.338232 0.706696 1.443321 2.828566 5.594393
2025-07-27 0.067999 0.156308 0.337675 0.727408 1.528786 3.075456 6.241159
2025-08-03 0.062351 0.148413 0.330761 0.734189 1.586911 3.274984 6.814734
2025-08-10 0.056467 0.139101 0.319624 0.730579 1.622919 3.433663 7.321062
2025-08-17 0.050769 0.129363 0.306304 0.720540 1.644009 3.563702 7.780558
2025-08-24 0.046060 0.121271 0.295586 0.714844 1.673491 3.713014 8.292556
2025-08-31 0.040694 0.110764 0.278013 0.691398 1.661062 3.772641 8.619644
2025-09-07 0.040065 0.112147 0.288508 0.734510 1.803290 4.176442 9.724955
2025-09-14 0.035593 0.102855 0.272118 0.711429 1.789957 4.237981 10.081456
2025-09-21 0.031692 0.094500 0.256978 0.689541 1.776914 4.298492 10.440280
2025-09-28 0.028463 0.087506 0.244401 0.672543 1.773741 4.380851 10.855902